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国家自然科学基金(40775038)

作品数:18 被引量:75H指数:5
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18 条 记 录,以下是 1-10
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华东地区登陆台风降水变化的初步研究被引量:7
2009年
利用华东地区129站1954—2004年逐日降水量资料,用降水客观分离的方法及其改进方案对登陆该地区的台风降水(tropical cyclone precipitation;TCP)进行分离;再用方差分析、气候趋势系数和线性回归等方法,分析TCP的气候特征,并与总降水的相应特征比较。结果表明:华东地区登陆台风降水量空间分布不均匀,福建东南沿海地区最大,具有向西北方向递减的趋势,这种趋势与地形等因素有关;TCP的年际变化明显,9 a和15 a周期显著;TCP年代际变化表现为20世纪50年代最多,70年代前开始减少,比华北地区台风降水减少出现的时间提早10 a;TCP与总降水两者的时间演变特点差异较大。
姚丽娜任健罗哲贤
Mechanism for initial brows-like meso-scale vortex effects on tropical cyclone track被引量:3
2012年
We used a two-dimensional quasi-geostrophic barotropic model simulation to study effects of an initial brows-like meso-scale vortex on tropical cyclone(TC) track.Our results show that the impact of each of the three foundational factors(the environmental current,the asymmetric structure and the asymmetric convection system) on TC track varies with time and the importance of each of the factors is different for the different TC motion time period.They show two kinds of the effects.One is a direct way.The asymmetric outer wind structure and the positive longitudinal wind speed averaged in radial-band(100-300) km in the period of(0-11) h are caused by the introduction of the initial brows-like meso-scale vortex,which results in TC track to turn to the north from the northwest directly.The other is an indirect influence.First,initial TC axisymmetric circulation becomes a non-axisymmetric circulation after the addition of the meso-scale vortex.The initial non-axisymmetric circulation experiences an axisymmetrizational process in the period of(0-11) h.Second,axisymmetrizationed TC horizontal size is enlarged after t=12 h.Third,both the TC asymmetric structure and the TC energy dispersion induced-anticyclone are intensified,which quickens the TC motion and results in the track to turn to the north indirectly.The TC motion is characterized by the unusual track under the direct and the indirect effect.The formation of the unusual track should be attributed to the common effects of three factors,including the environmental flow,the TC asymmetric structure and the asymmetric convection system.
LUO ZheXianPING Fan
关键词:中尺度涡旋热带气旋路径眉毛非轴对称
Energy dispersion of complex non-isolated vortices被引量:3
2011年
Energy dispersion is a fundamental scientific problem in the study of natural disasters such as typhoons, heavy rain and earthquakes. The problem has been addressed by both multi-discipline research and forecast studies. The dynamics of isolated circular vortex energy dispersion have been solved. However, the disastrous results of typhoons and heavy rain often occur due to non-isolated circular vortices, the dynamics of which are explored in this paper. The energy dispersion characteristics of non-isolated vortices with complex structural patterns are examined using a linearized nondivergent barotropical vorticity equation model. In the initial field, a tropical cyclone (TC) vortex and a meso-scale vortex coexist, forming a complex structural pattern. An analytic solution based on a Fourier transform and simulations using a two-dimensional model show the following. (1) A wave train of TC-G-D may be created by the energy dispersion where the line connecting the three member centers of the wave train is parallel to the x axis in the case of an initial TC vortex without a meso-scale vortex. (2) A wave train of TC-G-D may also be created by energy dispersion. However, the line connecting the three member centers of the wave train would no longer be parallel to the x axis. Instead, they would form a triangle in the presence of the initial TC vortex with the meso-scale vortex. (3) There is a nonlinear relationship between the initial intensity of the meso-scale vortex and the base angle of the triangle. These results have the potential to be applied in the field of typhoon forecasting.
LUO ZheXian 1,2 1 Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster of Ministry of Education, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, China
关键词:能量色散非隔离式中尺度涡台风预报
眉状中尺度涡影响热带气旋路径的机理研究被引量:4
2012年
应用准地转正压涡度方程数值研究了初始眉状中尺度涡影响热带气旋(TC)路径的机理.结果显示,环境场引导气流、TC非对称结构和非对称对流系统这三个影响TC路径的基本因子均具有时变特征,它们在不同的时段具有不同的重要性,其中眉状中尺度涡有两种作用.一种是直接作用,在0~11h,眉状中尺度涡引入后,TC外区风场呈现非对称结构,100~300km圆环区经向风速平均值大于零,直接导致TC向偏北方向移动.另一种是间接作用,从初始非轴对称流型启动,TC环流经历了一个轴对称化的过程.在12h以后,轴对称化的TC的空间尺度加大,TC非对称结构改变,TC能量频散高值系统环境场引导流增强,间接导致TC移速加快,移向向北偏折.在直接、间接的作用下,TC移动具有异常路径的特征.这个异常路径的形成可以归因于环境场引导气流、TC非对称结构和非对称对流系统三者的共同作用.
罗哲贤平凡
关键词:热带气旋
南海台风暖心结构形成的个例研究
采用NCEP/NCAR全球对流层1°×1°格点分析资料,选取两个南海台风个例,2001年0123号台风lingling和2005年0518号台风Damrey,分析了台风形成过程中暖心结构的变化特征及其与最大风速和位势高度...
李忆平罗哲贤
关键词:台风形成暖心
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Simulations of the Motion of Tropical Cyclone-like Vortices in the Presence of Synoptic and Mesoscale Circulations被引量:3
2012年
Initial mesoscale vortex effects on the tropical cyclone(TC) motion in a system where three components coexist(i.e.,an environmental vortex(EV),a TC,and mesoscale vortices) were examined using a barotropic vorticity equation model with initial fields where mesoscale vortices were generated stochastically.Results of these simulations indicate that the deflection of the TC track derived from the initial mesoscale vortices was clearly smaller than that from the beta effect in 60% of the cases.However,they may have a more significant impact on the TC track under the following circumstances.First,the interaction between an adjacent mesoscale vortex and the TC causes the emergence of a complicated structure with two centers in the TC inner region.This configuration may last for 8 h,and the two centers undergo a cyclonic rotation to make the change in direction of the TC motion.Second,two mesoscale vortices located in the EV circulation may merge,and the merged vortex shifts into the EV inner region,intensifying both the EV and steering flow for the TC,increasing speed of the TC.
罗哲贤平凡
关键词:热带气旋路径中尺度环流中尺度涡旋
旋转大气中地形对涡旋自组织影响的初步研究
2008年
用一个带有地形项的β平面准地转正压涡度方程,进行2组积分时间长度为48h的试验,分析旋转大气中地形对多涡自组织的影响。地球旋转作用的引入主要会引起以下的差别:无旋转大气中,多涡自组织的特征是准终态涡将初始多涡全部吸收或全部组织起来;旋转大气中,多涡自组织的特征是准终态涡将初始多涡部分吸收或部分组织起来,差别较明显。中尺度地形对准终态涡位置的影响不同。无旋转大气中,中尺度地形对准终态涡位置的影响较小,有无地形的两个准终态涡中心之间的距离约100km;旋转大气中,中尺度地形对准终态涡位置的影响较大,有无地形的两个准终态涡中心之间的距离约200km,两者相差一倍左右。
马革兰罗哲贤范新强倪东鸿
关键词:涡旋自组织地形
研究生学术道德失范的表现、根源及对策被引量:10
2009年
研究生的学术道德问题已引起全社会的广泛关注,研究生学术失范现象、学术不端行为,严重污染了学术环境,影响了学术声誉,阻碍了学术进步,必须深刻认识加强研究生学术道德教育的重要性和紧迫性。通过描述学术道德失范的主要行为表现,分析了导致研究生学术道德失范的教育根源,进而提出了惩治研究生学术失范切实可行的措施。
马革兰
关键词:学术道德学术不端行为
涡旋环流区域内精细复杂结构的研究被引量:2
2010年
应用准地转正压涡度方程数值研究了涡旋精细复杂结构的形成和演变问题.结果显示,初始分布对称的一个大尺度主涡与4个β中涡通过非线性相互作用,可以激发出大尺度分量和小尺度分量之间能量输送通量的高度局域化的非对称复杂结构.复杂结构的主要特征是:存在正、负通量的两支波列,波列中有7~8个空间尺度<100km的闭合中心.正通量区平均风速随时间衰减,负通量区平均风速几乎维持不变,显示了主涡风速演变的非对称性和局域性.主涡中心有一个向负值通量闭合中心移动的趋势,意味着能量输送通量的复杂结构与主涡中心移动之间也存在联系.不同尺度涡旋的非线性相互作用是精细复杂结构形成和演变的根源.
罗哲贤马革兰平凡
关键词:涡旋
Statistical characteristics of meso-scale vortex effects on the track of a tropical cyclone被引量:2
2011年
This paper examines initial meso-scale vortex effects on the motion of a tropical cyclone (TC) in a system where coexisting two components of TC and meso-scale vortices with a barotropic vorticity equation model. The initial meso-scale vortices are generated stochastically by employing Reinaud's method. The 62 simulations are performed and analysed in order to understand the statistical characteristics of the effects. Results show that the deflection of the TC track at t=24 h induced by the initial meso-scale vortices ranges from 2km to 37 km with the mean value of 13.4 km. A more significant deflection of the TC track can be reduced when several initial meso-scale vortices simultaneously appear in a smaller TC circulation area. It ranges from 22 km to 37 km with the mean value of 28 km,this fact implies that the initial meso-scale vortices-induced deflection may not be neglected sometimes.
罗哲贤孙治安平凡
关键词:热带气旋路径中尺度涡涡度方程
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