Using 86 CME-interplanetary shock events,the correlation between the peak values of (a) the solar wind parameters(B_z,E_y,P_(dyn)) and the geomagnetic indices(SYM-H,ASY-H,Kp), (b) the coupling functions(Borovsky,Akasofu,Newell) and the geomagnetic indices,(c) the solar wind parameters/coupling functions/geomagnetic indices and the ionospheric parameter(Δf_0F_(2min)), are investigated.The statistical results show that in group(a),B_(z min) and SYM-H_(min) have the best correlation,that in group(b),the best correlation is between the peak values of Akasofu function (A_(min)) and SYM-H_(min),and that in group(c),the best correlation is between K_(pmax) andΔf_0F_(2min). Based on the statistical results,a method for predicting f_0F_2 of a single station is attempted to be set up.The input is modified B_(z min) and the outputs are SYM-H_(min) andΔf_0F_(2min).Then 25 CME-IPS events that caused geomagnetic storms in 1998 and 2009 are used to check the prediction method. The results show that our method can be used to predict SYM-H_(min) andΔf_0F_(2min).
LI ZhengWEI FengsiFENG XueshangGUO JianpengXU Xiaojun
In this paper,we report two MC events observed by WIND spacecraft with good examples of fieldaligned residual flow inside the MC structure. For both events,the co-moving frames are determined through the deHoffman-Teller (HT) analysis and the axial orientations are inferred by the newly developed minimal residue (MR) method. The nature coordinate system for both events are constructed with velocity of the HT frame and the inferred MC axis,the field and flow remaining in the HT frame are analyzed at this coordinate system. As a result,we find that the residual flows in the co-moving HT frame of the two MC events are almost anti-parallel to the helical magnetic field. We speculate that the field-aligned residual flows are large scale coherent hydrodynamic vortices co-moving with the MCs at the supersonic speed near 1 AU. Data analyses show that the event in slow ambient solar wind is expanding at 1 AU and another one in fast solar wind does not show apparent expansion. Proton behaviors for both events are quasi-isothermal. Accelerated HT analysis shows that both events have no suitable HT frame with constant accelerations,which suggests that both events may be moving at the constant speed near 1 AU under the assumptions of the HT analysis. For both events,the ratio of the dynamic pressure to the magnetic pressure is larger than that of the thermal pressure to magnetic pressure,which suggests that the dynamic effects due to the plasma flows remaining in the co-moving HT frame are more important than the thermal effects in the study of MC evolution and propagation.
