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国家自然科学基金(71110107028)

作品数:10 被引量:75H指数:5
相关作者:张林秀宋映泉易红梅黄晓婷魏建国更多>>
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10 条 记 录,以下是 1-10
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打工子弟学校学生初中后流向哪里?——基于北京市1866名流动儿童学生长期跟踪调研数据的实证分析被引量:11
2017年
打工子弟学校学生初中后流向哪里?他们的教育和就业前景如何?本文使用来自北京市10个区县50所打工子弟学校1866名初中二年级学生连续5年的跟踪调查数据,对这些问题进行了分析。研究发现:(1)这个群体初中后教育成就整体不高。高中(含职业学校)升学率不足40%,大学升学率不到6%。在高中阶段,就读职业学校的比例高于普通高中。在大学阶段,有近一半左右学生就读独立学院和高职高专院校。(2)这个群体整体就业水平和就业质量不高。就业者中有三分之二在低端服务行业打工,平均月薪在2500到3500元之间;10%左右以自我雇佣的方式就业;有13-21%处于无业状态。(3)他们中大多数仍然留在北京。就读职业学校的学生超过三分之二在京;上大学者中有近三成在京;不上学者中超过四分之三在京就业或无业。(4)这个群体已经开始结婚生子养育下一代,这意味着流动儿童已经开始"再生产"。本文初步分析了导致这个群体破灭的"教育梦"、低廉的"职业梦"和执拗的"留京梦"的体制因素及政策含义。
宋映泉曾育彪张林秀
关键词:初中后教育就业
随机干预试验——影响评估的前沿方法被引量:18
2013年
在国际上,影响评估已经逐步成为项目设计的一部分,其最大的挑战是如何判断结果变化确实是由于项目干预或政策实施所致。影响评估的方法可以分为非试验性影响评估方法和试验性影响评估方法两类。非试验性影响评估的主要方法有事前事后评估比较法、倍差分析法、匹配法、工具变量法、断点回归法等;而试验性评估方法即随机干预试验,其最大的优点是避免了非试验性评估的选择误差问题。本文在介绍2类影响评估方法特点的基础上,重点介绍了随机干预试验的试验设计和操作步骤。开展随机干预试验首先要进行因果链分析,其次确定干预的单位和随机的方法,然后进一步分析其他可能对结果变量产生影响的因素,并在试验设计时加以控制,最后计算试验规模的大小。随机干预试验的执行过程:第一步是基线调查,第二步随机选择样本实施干预,第三步是评估调查。本文以婴幼儿营养健康和教育的影响评估项目为典型案例,对随机干预试验在中国的实践应用进行了介绍。随机干预试验在影响评估领域具有广阔的应用前景。
张林秀
Effect of Migration on Children's Self-esteem in Rural China被引量:2
2014年
China's rapid economic growth has been facilitated by its large volume of rural to urban migration.China's projected future development,especially increasing urbanization,implies that such migration will further intensify.However,migration does not come without cost.There are concerns about the potential negative impacts of migration on children 's care,education,and,in particular,the self-esteem of children left behind in villages where one or both parents have out-migrated to cities.In this paper,we employ unique survey data collected from Shaanxi Province,where more than 4700 ninth grade students from 36 rural junior high schools in five counties were surveyed in late 2011.The results show that having both parents migrate into cities significantly reduced children 's self-esteem.The effects are also gender sensitive.Girls that had a father or both parents who had out-migrated were inclined to have lower self-esteem than boys.Moreover,our study findings indicate that parental migration decreased children 's self-esteem more for individuals with initial low self-esteem.
Xuefeng ZhanShaoping LiChengfang LiuLinxiu Zhang
关键词:自尊
有条件的现金转移支付承诺对贫困学生高中完成情况的影响研究被引量:6
2019年
经济贫困和学习成绩差是导致我国中西部农村贫困学生高中阶段教育普及率不高的重要原因。本文旨在评估有条件的现金转移支付(CCT)承诺对改善我国农村贫困学生高中完成情况的影响。本研究团队向刚上初中的学生承诺,如果他们三年后上高中,就能在高中期间每年获得1500元的现金资助。基于2010—2016年期间对132所学校1892名初一年级贫困生的追踪调查,本文发现只有不到50%的贫困学生完成了高中学业。随机干预试验结果显示,CCT承诺未显著改善贫困学生的高中完成情况。可能的原因有两个:一是CCT承诺虽然增加了干预组贫困学生志愿上普高的比例,但是并未显著提高他们的成绩,最终他们未读普高;中职常是大多数学生的次优选择,当读中职的直接成本和机会成本高昂,贫困学生仍然不会读中职。二是一旦学生进入高中阶段,无论是读普高还是读中职,经济因素都不再是他们是否完成学业的首要决定因素。本文建议要提高农村义务教育质量,提升贫困学生高中入学的竞争力,并提高高中阶段助学金资助额度,从而保证贫困学生在学业和经济两个方面都有能力上高中并上完高中。
易红梅易红梅张林秀
关键词:贫困学生农村
China's Labor Transition and the Future of China's Rural Wages and Employment被引量:16
2013年
This paper contributes to the assessment of China's rural labor markets.According to our data,the increase in off-farm employment that China experienced during the 1980s and1990s continued during the 2000s.Our analysis shows that migration has become the most prevalent off-farm activity,although the destination of migrants is shifting from outside of one's province to destinations closer to home.The present paper finds that large shares of male and female individuals,especially those under 40 years,are working off the farm.These findings represent an important contribution to the labor economics field.First,the results of the present paper reveal that the labor transition from the agricultural sector to the non-agricultural sector for key segments of China's rural labor force is nearly complete.Second,although a large share of China's rural labor force work in agriculture,most of these workers are older men and women(and likely would not be willing to take low-wage,labor-intensive jobs).Third,the rising unskilled wage rate in China is partially a result of the tightening of the labor force in the young age cohorts.Finally,due to factors associated with the one child policy and other demographic transition forces,successive age cohorts will continue to fall in absolute number in the coming decade.Assuming China's growth continues,we expect to see further wage increases since it will take higher wages to coax more workers to work off the farm.
Qiang LiJikun HuangRenfu LuoChengfang Liu
关键词:就业机会农业活动
Impact of a Senior High School Tuition Relief Program on Poor Junior High School Students in Rural China被引量:3
2013年
A significant gap remains between rural and urban students in the rate of admission to senior high school.One reason for this gap might be the high levels of tuition and fees for senior high school.By reducing students' expectations of attending high school,high levels of tuition and fees could be reducing student academic performance in junior high schools.In this paper we evaluate the impacts of a senior high tuition relief program on the test scores of poor rural seventh grade students in China.We surveyed three counties in Shaanxi Province and exploited the fact that,while the counties are adjacent to one another and share similar characteristics,only one of the three implemented a tuition relief program.Using several alternative estimation strategies,including difference-in-differences,propensity score matching and difference-in-differences matching,we find that the tuition program has a statistically significant and positive impact on the mathematics scores of seventh grade students.More importantly,this program is shown to have a statistically significant and positive effect on the poorest students in the treatment group compared to their wealthier peers.
Xinxin ChenYaojiang ShiDi MoJames ChuPrashant LoyalkaScott Rozelle
关键词:学费
How Are Secondary Vocational Schools in China Measuring up to Government Benchmarks?被引量:4
2013年
Drawing on a survey of 106 secondary vocational schools and 7309 students in two provinces of China,this descriptive paper assesses whether vocational schooling is measuring up to government benchmarks for quality and whether poor students are able to access quality schools.We find that secondary vocational schoob have met government benchmarks for teacher qualification and training,student opportunities for practical training and adequate facilities.Furthermore,poor students access schoob of similar quality to non-poor students,even though 34 percent of poor students do not receive financial aid.We conclude that recent policies are successfully ensuring secondary vocational school quality and equity of access to school quality between poor and non-poor students.However,financial aid policies should be re-examined,such that poor students receive sufficient coverage.Moreover,given that input-based measures only proxy school quality,the government should consider holding schoob accountable for outcomes such as student learning.
Hongmei YiLinxiu ZhangChengfang LiuJames ChuPrashant LoyalkaMay MaaniJianguo Wei
关键词:办学质量财政援助
从村民视角看村委会选举:客观程序与主观评价——基于全国5省100村2000户调查数据的实证研究
2014年
本文使用了一个具有全国代表性的大样本农村村委会选举的微观数据,从村民视角讨论了其所实际参与的六道重要选举程序规范程度的现状及其所呈现的区域差异。研究发现,在很多重要的选举环节,选举程序的规范程度还不高。对于选举质量,从三个维度进行考察,都发现在不同程度上存在问题。但是,村民从整体上已经认同了选举制度,并且认为它能改善他们自己的福利,希望能继续规范和推进。
张同龙张林秀
关键词:村委会选举
职业教育对发展中国家人力资本开发的影响:来自中国的证据被引量:3
2016年
许多发展中国家当前正大力发展职业教育和培训(VET),以求积累人力资本,促进经济增长。本研究的主要目的在于理解作为发展中国家之一的中国,职业教育是否有助于其人力资本的开发。为了实现这一目标,我们收集了中国2个省超过10000名职业高中(最常见的计算机专业)学生和普通高中学生的纵向数据。
普尚黄晓婷张林秀魏建国易红梅宋映泉史耀疆詹姆斯·褚
关键词:人力资本开发职业教育普通高中学生计算机专业经济增长
留守经历影响中职学生的考学行为、辍学行为和升学意愿吗——基于浙江、陕西两省的跟踪数据被引量:13
2014年
本文基于2011年和2012年浙江和陕西两省106所中职学校7411名高一年级学生的跟踪数据,分析了留守经历对中职学生的考学行为、辍学行为和升学意愿的影响。研究发现,在不控制其他因素的情况下,留守儿童、流动儿童与其他儿童群体中参加过中考的学生比例、辍学率和打算上高职高专的学生比例存在差别;但在控制其他因素的情况下,留守儿童与非留守儿童在考学行为、辍学行为和升学意愿上并不存在显著差剐,留守时间对中职学生的考学行为、辍学行为和升学意愿也无显著影响。因此,使用工具变量或者其他识别策略也许是这个领域研究的一个可能方向。
隋海梅宋映泉
关键词:流动儿童考学辍学升学
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