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国家自然科学基金(40405012)

作品数:6 被引量:21H指数:4
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多普勒雷达积分VAP反演技术被引量:7
2007年
单多普勒雷达风场反演技术对于扩大多普勒雷达的应用范围具有重要的作用。在传统的反演技术中,VAD和VAP技术操作简单,原理清晰,具有一定的实用价值。本文在提出“按方位角均匀假定反演关系”的基础上,进一步证明VAD和VAP技术是“按方位角均匀假定反演关系”的两种特殊应用,进而把这两个方法统一起来。在此基础上,提出采用“按方位角均匀假定反演关系”进行二维风场反演的积分VAP技术(IVAP),该技术与传统VAP技术不同的是在整个选定的反演区间上进行二维风场反演,而不是仅考虑反演区间的两个端点,因此IVAP技术具有滤波性能,而且可以根据需要调整反演区间以得到满足一定平滑性并能反映中小尺度信息的风场信息。采用I-VAP技术反演时可以不对原始资料进行平滑预处理,因此使用中更为方便。当IVAP反演中积分区间为整个扫描圆周时,反演结果与VAD技术一致,而当反演时采用相邻的方位角时,反演结果与VAP技术一致。IVAP技术的频率响应函数表明:IVAP技术对于小尺度扰动具有滤波作用,而且当反演中采用的方位角区间越大时,对较短波动的滤除能力越强,得到的反演风场越平滑。理想试验采用均匀西风叠加小幅随机扰动的流场得到雷达观测径向风,对比分别使用VAP和IVAP方法,用不同的方位角区间反演的西风风速表明,IVAP方法能明显滤去随机高频扰动,而且反演采用的方位角区间越大,反演得到的西风越接近平均值。该试验表明,IVAP方法具有滤除小扰动的特性。采用IVAP方法对线性分布风场得到的雷达观测径向风反演表明,当反演采用的方位角区间较小时,反演结果能反映风场的线性分布特征,当反演的方位角区间逐渐增大时,反演结果越接近平均风场,即与VAD方法的反演结果越接近。该试验表明IVAP方法能得到较高分辨率的反演风场。
梁旭东王斌
关键词:多普勒雷达风场反演
第二类热成风螺旋度对登陆台风降水的诊断能力分析台风泰利个例研究被引量:4
2009年
文中利用中尺度数值模式MM5模拟了台风泰利的登陆过程,模拟的台风路径、天气形势和降水都与观测基本一致,能够很好地反映出真实的天气过程。再利用数值模拟结果,研究了第二类热成风螺旋度(H_2)对登陆台风泰利降水的诊断能力,结果表明它对深入内陆的台风强降水具有较好的诊断能力,而对刚登陆前后的台风降水诊断能力不如经典螺旋度。特别地,H_2在提前1 h时与泰利降水达到最高相关系数,且在提前1—5 h时,它与降水的相关性比经典螺旋度的高,表现出十分显著的预示降水增幅的能力。进一步分析表明,在刚登陆前后,泰利台风中心850-200 hPa的风场垂直切变较小(约5 m/s),其最强降水出现在路径右侧300 km半径范围以内,与低空的正温度平流、低空辐合、高空辐散等无明显的关系,而低空相对涡度能够很好地反映降水的变化,这是经典螺旋度与降水在这一阶段相关性优于H_2的主要原因。而在深入内陆后,台风泰利本体环流减弱,受北部西风槽的影响逐渐增强,环境风场垂直切变迅速增大,发生强降水的庐山和大别山区处于顺垂直风切变方向左侧。在东北向的垂直风切变情况下,庐山和大别山强降水区上空有向东的高空急流出流,强高空辐散诱发垂直次级环流,从而激发对流,形成强上升运动区,因此H_2的诊断优势在这一阶段表现得最清楚。
喻自凤余晖
关键词:台风
单Doppler雷达IVAP风场反演试验被引量:4
2007年
单Doppler雷达风场反演技术对于扩大Doppler雷达在中尺度气象监测和预报中的应用范围具有重要的作用。通过采用“给定方位角内风场均匀假定”提出积分速度—方位处理技术IVAP(IntegratingVelocity-AzimuthProcessing),克服了VAP技术在单多普勒雷达风场反演中对Doppler速度小尺度脉动过分敏感的缺点,及VAD(Velocity-AzimuthDisplay,速度-方位显示)技术只能反演平均风矢量问题。利用2001-08-05上海特大暴雨时虹桥机场Doppler雷达速度资料进行中尺度风场反演试验。对均匀风方位角区间分别取9°,18°,45°和90°的反演结果的比较表明,采用较小的方位角区间可以反演出与这次暴雨有关的气旋式环流和中尺度辐合线。利用地面站实测风记录及风廓线数据对IVAP反演风的质量进行了评估。结果表明,反演风的风向和地面实测风的风向有很好的相关性,反演方位角区间越大,相关性越好。与20个时次同高度上风廓线仪探测的风速数据的对比表明,IVAP技术反演出的风速和它们也有很好的相关性,两者u、v分量均方误差在2m/s左右。由于IVAP技术风场反演无需事先对Doppler雷达原始的速度资料进行人为的滤波或平滑处理,所以具有较强的客观性,便于在气象雷达预报业务中应用。
梅珏梁旭东吕环宇
关键词:DOPPLER雷达风场反演暴雨中尺度系统
Relation of the Second Type Thermal Helicity to Precipitation of Landfalling Typhoons:A Case Study of Typhoon Talim
2011年
This study utilized the MM5 mesoscale model to simulate the landfalling process of Typhoon Talim.The simulated typhoon track,weather patterns,and rainfall process are consistent with the observation.Using the simulation results,the relation of the second type thermal helicity(H2) to rainfall caused by the landfalling typhoon Talim was analyzed.The results show that H2 could well indicate the heavy inland rainfall but it did not perform as well as the helicity in predicting rainfall during the beginning stage of the typhoon landfall.In particular,H2 was highly correlated with rainfall of Talim at 1-h lead time.For 1-5-h lead time,it also had a higher correlation with rainfall than the helicity did,and thus showing a better potential in forecasting rainfall intensification.Further analyses have shown that when Talim was in the beginning stage of landfall,1) the 850-200-hPa vertical wind shear around the Talim center was quite small(about 5 m s-1);2) the highest rainfall was to the right of the Talim track and in the area with a 300-km radius around the Talim center,exhibiting no obvious relation to low-level temperature advection,low-level air convergence,and upper-level divergence;3) the low-level relative vorticity reflected the rainfall change quite well,which was the main reason why helicity had a better performance than H2 in this period.However,after Talim moved inland further,1) it weakened gradually and was increasingly affected by the northern trough;2) the vertical wind shear was enhanced as well;3) the left side of the down vertical wind shear lay in the Lushan and Dabieshan mountain area,which could have contributed to triggering a secondary vertical circulation,helping to produce the heavy rainfall over there;hence,H2 showed a better capacity to reflect the rainfall change during this stage.
喻自凤余晖
关键词:TYPHOON
Convective Asymmetries Associated with Tropical Cyclone Landfall: β-Plane Simulations被引量:1
2010年
The physical processes associated with changes in the convective structure of an idealized tropical cyclone (TC) during landfall on a beta-plane were studied using the fifth-generation Pennsylvania State University- National Center for Atmospheric Research Mesoscale Model, version 3 (MM5). The simulation results suggested that the suppression of moisture supply and increased friction acted to enhance the convection from the left and front quadrants of the TC to the front and right of the TC during different periods of landfall. When surface moisture flux was turned off, convection in other parts of the quadrant was clearly suppressed and the total rainfall was reduced. When surface friction was increased, precipitation showed a marked increase after the TC made landfall. Wetter air at low and intermediate levels, and drier air at high levels around the onshore side of the coastline led to a high value of convective available potential energy (CAPE). Consequently, convection was enhanced immediately downstream of this area when the surface moisture flux was cut off. When surface friction was increased, the physical process was similar prior to landfall. After landfall, increased convergence at the onshore side of the land resulted in enhanced convection in front of the TC. Consistent with previous findings, our results suggest that during landfall the TC structure changes from one of thermodynamic symmetry to asymmetry due to differential moisture flux between the land and sea surface. The asymmetry of the thermodynamic structure, which can be explained by the distribution of CAPE, causes an asymmetric rainfall structure.
黄伟梁旭东
关键词:LANDFALL
Mesoscale Vortex Generation and Merging Process: A Case Study Associated with a Post-Landfall Tropical Depression被引量:7
2010年
An observational analysis of satellite blackbody temperature (TBB) data and radar images suggests that the mesoscale vortex generation and merging process appeared to be essential for a tropical-depression-related heavy rain event in Shanghai, China. A numerical simulation reproduced the observed mesoscale vortex generation and merging process and the corresponding rain pattern, and then the model outputs were used to study the related dynamics through diagnosing the potential vorticity (PV) equation. The tropical depression (TD) was found to weaken first at lower levels and then at upper levels due to negative horizontal PV advection and diabatic heating effects. The meso-vortices developed gradually, also from the lower to the upper levels, as a result of positive horizontal PV advection and diabatic heating effects in the downshear left quadrant of the TD. One of these newly-generated vortices, V1, replaced the TD ultimately, while the other two, V2 and V3, merged due to the horizontal PV advection process. Together with the redevelopment of V1, the merging of V2 and V3 triggered the very heavy rain in Shanghai.
喻自凤梁旭东余晖Johnny C. L. CHAN
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